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Mission: Impossible

So the Canadiens have now lost 6 of 7 games, with another one coming up against the league’s best team in Vancouver. Losing 7 of 8 is a distinct possibility. A distinct probability given the way they’re playing lately. The timing couldn’t be worse with the trade deadline about a week away. Now there’s a sizeable portion of Habs fans thinking that Pierre Gauthier absolutely must to do something to improve this team. I can’t put up much of an argument, because the Canadiens do need serious upgrades, but what can he be expected to do with the assets he has, and considering the state of the team on the ice? Not one, or two, or even three trades would fix all that ails the good ship Canadien. Besides – and this may be a well guarded secret that I’m about to expose – other General Managers around the league have cable TV (and satellite, too!), cell phones, and perhaps most shocking of all – internet access! Given all those top-secret tools, the rest of the league can effectively eavesdrop on the Habs and figure out just what the Habs troubles are. They also know what expectations are in Montreal, and can squeeze Gauthier even harder. Here’s another secret: there isn’t a General Manager out there who wants to help the Canadiens get better. They know the Canadiens are in dire straits, and they’re sitting back waiting for Gauthier to talk turkey with them. Within seconds they will have Gauthier over a barrel because they know he’s in dire straits. They probably wouldn’t know if they didn’t have all of those high tech gadgets like TV and internet. Damn them! This is precisely why Gauthier needs to disconnect and restrain himself. Any General Manager will be all too happy to pluck away the Canadiens best remaining assets to assist Gauthier in plugging just enough holes to make the playoffs.
If Gauthier is not planning on making a huge splash that helps shape the core of the team for the foreseeable future, then he may as well take a vacation. Just so that we’re clear, any moves that will affect the core of this team for the future will cost Gauthier assets that already represent the present and future: Pacioretty, Subban, and high-end draft picks. Are you ready to part with them? I thought not. And if you are, I’m glad you aren’t the General Manager. Andrei Kostitsyn, as the most moveable among the top-6 forwards will not fetch a productive power forward in return. And no, packaging Kostitsyn with a 3rd round draft pick isn’t a clever way to pry Rick Nash out of Columbus. “Sweetening the pot” with Yannick Weber or Lars Eller blows you like a stiff breeze in to “poor asset management” territory. Face it, the Canadiens are now living through the bumps in the road that come from poor drafting, injuries galore, and unproductive forwards with gigantic contracts. Father Time is the only one that can fix this, and only if he’s joined on the ride by better drafting, better player development, better coaching, and players that do what they’re paid to do.
The trade deadline is not the place where you transform yourself from bubble team to an intimidating, high-powered, well-oiled machine. That’s never been the intention of the trade deadline, nor will it ever be. The trade deadline is for teams that want to add the last pieces to what they believe is a Stanley Cup puzzle (see: Bruins, Boston). Many Habs fans are pulling their hair out because a hated rival continues to aggressively load up for their shot at glory. The Flyers are also looking primed for their swing at the fence. But guess what? Only one of those loaded teams will get the chance to play for the Cup, let alone win it. To do that, they still need to beat the Western Conference Champ, which is no guarantee either. I suppose some of you will say “but at least they’re trying while Gauthier does nothing”. If viewed in a vacuum, you’re right. But what you aren’t taking in to consideration is the fact that the Bruins and Flyers built slowly through the draft and have made shrewd signings over the years. They are in a position to make this final push for the Cup. The Canadiens aren’t there yet. Regardless, now you want the Canadiens to make a bunch of trades to keep up with the Flyers and Bruins at the top of the East? Sorry, I’m not buying it. There’s nothing Gauthier can do, or should do right now to try and keep up with the Joneses. With the system Jacques Martin has in place, any big-name acquisition is not likely to have the desired effect anyway. If you want real, lasting change for the Habs your best option is to wait for a regime change. Martin is still basking in the glow of last year’s run and probably has immunity for the foreseeable future, especially with his buddy calling the shots. A good place to start would be to have the guy who Bruce Boudreau called “one of the smartest coaches in the league” to alter his philosophy. Stop relying on power plays and goaltending. Implement a system that sees the forwards forecheck hard and keep the puck in the opponent’s end. Force them to chase the Canadiens speedy forwards.
Gauthier should not make moves at the deadline to puck up short-term fixes at the cost of the future. Instead, his best investment is a set of “jaws of life” to pry Martin’s philosophy out of the pre-lockout era.
  • jon

    fair enoug kyle. I agree with most if not all of what you say. I still think we should dump a few guys now for drafts and or whatever we can get that makes sense, finish worse if we can, draft higher with more draft picks for those we dump, and let the kids develop and play …but with martin running the show, its problematic to saythe least. I’m just waiting for him to ruin eller and desharnais…

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    If you read the article, you’d know that I don’t have the Ballard syndrome at all, thanks. I want the Canadiens to think about the future, and NOT throw away assets to fix today’s troubles. The disconnect is what you, and I want, and what billionnaire businessmen want. I was all in for the Canadiens to bomb and rebuild a la Pittsburgh, Chicago, Washington. The time to do that was at the end of the 2009 season with the departure of Koivu and Kovalev. That ship has sailed. No total rebuild is coming. The Canadiens will always try to be a playoff bound team that is simultaneously trying to reach the top tier. That’s a tall order when not selecting the cream of the crop at the draft table and you have to overpay to get free agents.

    I’d love for the Habs to rival the Wings, but there’s a reason why they’ve been so successful for 20 years. Their entire system from top to bottom is top-notch, which is why I wanted the Canadiens to turn over the stone that would have at least granted Steve Yzerman an interview.

  • jon

    Kyle, you have the harold ballard mentality…..an we all know what gigantic losers the leafs are year in and year out…I am sick of the habs short term outlook. I’m more interested in building a franchise like the red wings. If we have to finish lower to draft higher for a few years, count me in.

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    Of course he has plenty of cash. But they didn’t get rich by leaving money on the table.

    It’s easy for us as fans to say he has enough money and should forgo profit for playoff success. Ultimately he wants that pure profit money that playoff revenue brings in.

    In business (which the Canadiens, and the NHL is) there’s one thing that drives these owners, and that’s more money. If they have billions in the bank, they wants tens of billions.

  • jon

    Geoff Molson has plenty of cash. We need to get back to one and only one goal. winning a cup,not just limping into the playoffs for a round or 2…

    With the core we now have, and the talent down below, and with a key FA signing here or there and we’ll be fine. no need to panic.

    I think between leblanc, bourneval, avtsin, palusaj, emelin, ellis, conboy, dumont, bennett, gallagher, trunev, we’ll have a few guys in the mix that could become big time players.

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    With all due respect, Nick, Gomez on his best day is not the Canadiens best player. Plekanec is far better at all aspects of the game. Gomez’ contract is too much of an anchor, and his performance is unjustifiably bad. Terrible +/-, not good on faceoffs, takes bad penalties, and can’t produce at all. He’s on pace for less than 40 points. For the amount of cap space he eats, that’s not acceptable.

    I do agree that the solution is to try and get him going through better coaching…but Martin will not change his ways. It’s a bad situation, and one that will end with Gomez being sent packing before his contract expires. Way before his contract expires.

    Ultimately we agree on your last point: the trade deadline is not the answer to fix the team’s problems.

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    No team would have given up Bobby Ryan for Markov. Neal would be more attainable, but it’s a moot point.

    The Canadiens still need the services of Markov, or somebody like Markov that can be great for 22+ minutes per night. Subban will be there some day but he’s not there yet.

    If the Stars feel as though Goligoski fills their needs, then he’s worth two players…to them. Maybe time will prove that they were screwed.

  • Nick

    I agree with most of this but it annoys me to see this constant bashing of Gomez. Stop this nonsense and this knee-jerk reaction to drive hockey stars out of town everytime there is a problem! I am sorry but he is the best player on the habs right now. Wether he is playing his best or not is another story and perhaps part of the problem as a whole.

    And I will say this: Gomez is the only hab that does not scare me as much as everyone else every time he touches the puck.

    The solution to the problem is to try and find out why he is not playing his best and try to fix that. Is it management? Is it the game plan? Is it the coach? The line mates?

    What is it that makes a great player like Gomez under-perform night in night out? He is obviously sending a message and this message is either not clear or not being heard. This includes Pleky and as of late most of the habs look frustrated to me out there.

    Something is wrong and the answer is not the trade deadline.

  • Blair

    I said last year and will say again….they should have traded Markov after he didn’t play the home and home against Philly, but zipped off to play for Russia. I would have taken Neal or Ryan..both good young guys who would be around for years. Too late now I see however, since Neal just went to Pens. Goligolski isn’t that good to be traded for 2 players.

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    Paul, that was the idea a couple years ago for the Centennial. The Habs were banking on Koivu, Kovalev and all of the other expiring contracts to have a monster UFA season en route to a Cup parade. It blew up in their faces.

    In theory I like the idea, and you’d think it would pay off considering how often a pending UFA puts up monster stats in search of a big contract but recent history isn’t very kind to the Habs.

    I agree with you on the “good enough” mentality. You should check out @stevofarnham’s piece on how Gauthier and Martin make the Canadiens good, but not great, over at Allhabs.net.

  • Paul

    Simple solution, though it might be too much for most Habs fans:

    Get every player on the Habs on a contract that ends at the same time. You can’t deny that players in a “contract year” make an extra effort in effort to cash in when its time to negotiate a new deal. Imagine the might of a team with nearly the entire roster playing for their next big contract.

    Right now, we’re seeing a lot of guys in the middle of big contracts that the Habs are otherwise unable to unload. You can’t mortgage the future for a short-term run–you end up always clawing your way into the playoffs.

    Looks more like it’s an organisation-wide acceptance of “good enough”, where the bottom line matters more than the engravings on the cup. I remember a time when the team as a whole, top to bottom, truly believed that anything less than the Stanley Cup was a failed season. That mentality disappeared a long time ago.

  • http://www.thecheckingline.com Prax

    I think that first round pick is being overrated. This is a pretty weak draft year, maybe the weakest in a decade (maybe Rick can back me up on this). Yes it’s tough when you don’t have a second either, but if they can manage to pick up a young player who will stay here (Neal is on the market), then I’d have no problem giving up that first rounder and a decent prospect (save a few Kyle mentioned). It’s really much more doable than what you’re saying. Yes, teams know the Habs aren’t doing all that great, but I don’t think that means they’re holding him by the balls either.

    Not making an attempt to land some good players now means giving up on the season – whether they make the playoffs or not – and to me that’s unacceptable.

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    What we think and what ownership wants are two different things. Gathering picks for aged UFAs will not get Molson the playoff cash he likely wants.

    We also have to be careful not to do what Habs fans are notorious for – overvaluing what’s in the system. There are lots of nice names in that list of up and coming players, but most analysts agree that there isn’t a superstar in the bunch. They may be wrong in the end, but the jury will be out on those kids for a long time.

    What is certain is that Martin is not a guy who places trust in youngsters. He won’t be around when a lot of them get their starts, but the philosophy has to change before anything else.

  • jon

    Drafting is not an issue. WHERE we draft from is.

    I forgot to add in that we also can look to bennett, tinordi, ellis, hopefully emelin, maybe even pateryn, and stejkal, both of whom are big and play a tough defensive style. I think we are actually well positioned for the future up front with avtsin, palushaj, leblanc, kristo, conboy, dumont, bourneval, trunev, gallagher, mcmillan, and maybe even trotter and only need to get rid of the grossly underperforming parts now to make room for the youngs guys as they come up. We keep the core(cammy, pleks, gionta, paccio, soobee, wiz, eller, desharnais….and immediately jettison for picks gomer, kos, moen, pyatt, spacek, gill, hamr, and build for the future, with more speed, more toughness, more youth and all at lesser costs. It ONLY requires vision and patience.

    Jacques will kill these guys ….we need to get rid of jacques, as nice a guy as he his.

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    Drafting is starting to pay off, but imagine if the first rounders from the past 7-10 years had paid off?

    As for the players yet to come, we just don’t know yet. Sure they look promising in the minor ranks, but what happens when they come here and get stifled under Martin’s passive system that punishes young players harshly?

    I’m not focusing on drafting on why the Canadiens are where they are, but it’s a piece of the puzzle. The first problem is coaching that doesn’t fit. The byproduct of that is players who aren’t producing as expected, and a perceived need to shake things up.

    Thanks for reading and commenting!

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    Rick, it’s true that the Canadiens indeed graduate a lot of players to the NHL. I should have been more specific to say 1st round drafting has been an issue in the past 10 years.

    I agree with you on bad asset management, but the reason why Koivu and Kovalev, etc couldn’t be moved is because of marching orders to make the playoffs at all costs during the centennial. It was all part of the grand design to take a shot at the cup for the 100th anniversary, but it blew up in the Habs face.

    Player development has been woeful, and I thought Martin would have been better in this aspect. Price and Pacioretty were saved, but far too many were not given the right direction or opportunities to succeed here. It as if the organization’s philosophy is that players learn to play in the AHL, and once graduating to the NHL, they have to produce right away. In a fishbowl like Montreal, they need additional support, teaching and mentoring that they haven’t received.

    Thanks so much for reading!

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    I agree with you Jon. The Habs won’t win as long as Martin is calling the shots, and saying that they got closer with him than with other coaches in the past doesn’t make me feel any better.

    Patience and good sense are required, but how will they be heeded? Playoff revenue is a must in this town, so expect Gauthier to do whatever he has to do to attain 8th place at the very least.

    Thanks for reading!

  • tom2savoie

    Hi there,

    I don’t really agree with the poor drafting theory. If you look at recent years, we have Price, Tender and SK74 in 2005, 2006 is indeed a poor one with Maxwell and White who will never be impact players after the totally useless David Fisher. If ever Valentenko was to make the jump to the NHL, it could change that year’S picture though.
    2007 was excellent, McDonagh is now a Ranger’s D-man, and then we still have MaxPac, Subban and Weber.. is that supposed to be poor ? 2 of the 5 best habs this season come from this.
    2008 is a little early and the habs had few picks, but Kristo seems to be a hot prospect.

    2009 could be a kick-ass draft too in some way, Leblanc is the smart Pleky-type center, Avtsin might be the big right wing we’re dreaming of, Mac Bennet is still on the radar and might become another good young D-man.
    Not that bad is it ?

  • Rick1042

    Hi Kyle,

    I agree with almost everything you wrote here expect one thing: I don’t believe drafting is an issue. I think it could be better for sure, but the drafting team is among the biggest producer of NHL talent in the last 5 years.

    I think the major problems that have affected their scouting group, or at least the impression that we have of them are:

    A) The constant trading of 2nd round picks has made it difficult for the scouting staff to gamble on talented players that may have other issues. Let’s face it, in the last few drafts, the talent level at the draft has been deep but Montreal has not been able to take advantage of it.

    B) Real bad asset management. Streit, Souray, Koivu, Kovalev and a bunch of others have been traded away or given up on without getting anything in return besides salary cap space that they have filled-up with a bunch of overpaid players. Look what happened when Montreal were pro-active in the Rivet situation. That’s what they should have done more often.

    C) Terrible player development. Latendresse, Price, S.Kostitsyn, Pacioretty and Eller have all been brought up too soon. Price and Pacioretty survived here, Latendresse and S.Kostitsyn did not and Eller is a question mark.

  • jon

    We’re not winning anything with jacques martin, and I dont care who we get or dont get. He got lucky last year riding a hot goalie. If anyone remembers, we were giving up 40+ shots game in the playoffs. I dare anyone to tell me that is an effective system. His constant shuffling of lines has been a drag on the offense all year. The players must hate it. Moreover, he stinks with young players

    This team needs more toughness. Gomez is a joke. If you watch his play, he is soft soft soft…even when his offense is absent, you would think he would backcheck hard, go into the corners and hit people, use his speed to be a real thorn in the side of the other team, but he does NONE of it. He needs to be shipped out no matter the return. Same for kositsyn. He is dead weight and will never achieve his supposed potential. I think he has one of the lowest hockey IQ’s in the league. Moen can be shipped. Same for Pyatt. We need to strip this team of these 4 guys, go with developing more of the youth, pick up a physical forward in the meantime, and look to a key free agent pick up when it presents itself. Apart from that,were not winning the cup this year so lets shed these players, maybe finish off a little worse in the standings, get higher draft picks, get more draft picks and look to the next 3 years. With guys like avtsin, palushaj, leblanc, kristo, conboy, dumont, and others coming, we don’t need to panick and we dont need to gut the system. We only require patience and good sense. Martin is not in my opinion the right coach for this team going foward with all these young guys on the horizon.

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    Yes, you have to spend in order to receive, you also have to pick your battle and time it properly.

    And what happens next year when there are no more assets to trade? Gauthier doesn’t have a second rounder to trade. So that leaves his first rounder, which he would be nuts to part with. The only prospects that can fetch decent returns are the ones that the Habs would be suicidal to trade: Subban, Pacioretty, Leblanc, Tinordi. What’s left in Hamilton isn’t desireable to anybody.

    I agree that they owe it to the fans to try, but if they threw around assets like confetti every year, there would be no playoffs before long. The most important thing is to pick the right time to strike, and that time is not now. They can make a couple moves to make themselves a bit better and then roll the dice that Price can do what Halak did. That’s the play for this year. A healthy team next year may be ready to toss around a 1st rounder for the last big piece.

  • http://www.thecheckingline.com Prax

    Kyle, if they don’t want to waste assets, then they may as well throw away the season. You have to spend in order to succeed, and even if they don’t win the cup this year, they have to do everything they can in order to try. I don’t think it would be that hard to pick up a defenseman and a forward by next week, the going price for whatever’s left at the back-end likely won’t be anything higher than a 2nd round pick, and if they want a good forward they’d likely have to trade their 1st and a prospect, but no one’s asking Gauthier to trade Tinordi or Leblanc. There are plenty of options and using a few assets in order to make a trade won’t hurt the team as much as you’re saying. This team has a good core and they aren’t going anywhere. It’s a matter of plugging the holes and stopping the leaks in the short term, and they owe it to themselves and the fans to at least try.

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    Wisniewski isn’t a lock to remain with the team anyway. Martin is in NO position to sit any defensemen capable of playing a regular shift, and contributing on the power play, which is Martin’s bread and butter. Missing the playoffs would be damning for sure, and who knows what kind of gasket Molson would blow if he was cheated his playoff revenue? The fact remains that there are still fat contracts galore, and moving them won’t necessarily bring back a reliable core – if they can be moved at all!

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    Peter, your point speaks to something bigger: picking your battle, and picking the right window. The Canadiens are close to picking their and it’s coming sooner than Habs fans may think. Another year or two and they may be loading up for a run of their own. Thanks for stopping by!

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    It’s not out of the question at all, but Gauthier shouldn’t make any deals that massages the fans for the next 3 months but leaves them choking on the ashes next year or the year after when the consequences come home to roost! Thanks for reading!

  • http://www.cowhideandrubber.com Kyle

    George, nobody is saying that the season is lost if they don’t make a splash. The Canadiens best chance remains Carey Price, no matter who they pick up. The strategy that rules this team will stifle any big-name pick ups anyway, so why waste the assets?

    The Canadiens have always charged a fortune for tickets, and fans are right to expect a winner. But success in the NHL today comes from smart drafting, good signings and giving the players the right direction. The Canadiens have deficiencies in all 3 of those departments. By not wasting assets, Gauthier would at least be giving himself a chance to fix 2 of those 3 departments.

    We’re all tired of waiting, but the Canadiens are getting close enough with pieces like Subban, Price and Pacioretty in place that patience will pay off sooner than later.

  • Habbykins

    Here is the thing though – after wizzer calling out the coaching staff – how long will he be around and not in the pressbox picking splinters out of his posterior?

    If they do not make the playoffs it would be damning for all concerned and a major shakeup would be necessary.

    We actually have seen a shift to more offensive play in the last little while but to play that way we need to have some larger horses. Like Budweiser – no ponies need apply – need clydesdales.

  • Peter G

    I agree with you observations. The Canadiens don’t operate in a vacuum, all the contending teams will be trying to make moves too. The Canadiens are in dire straits now, with their defense losing several key players, and their top forwards not producing much.

  • http://johnnybertolo.wordpress.com/ Johnny Bertolo

    A change in philosophy rather than a change in personnel, I know where you’re coming form Kyle.

    That said, it’s not out of the question for Gauthier, et al to pull off a trade that will hopefully pay off dividends next year and each following year. There’s still time for the Habs to dump wasted space like AK 46 in order to upgrade for 2012 and beyond.

    I agree, everything starts at the draft, like I said, in order for the Canadiens to move forward, they need to drop the ‘Boys Club/Homme Chez Nous’ mindset and acquire the best scouts, managers and coaches (regardless of heritage, language or race).

    -Great Article, Cheers!
    -JB

  • http://www.thecheckingline.com Prax

    It’s really not a matter of righting the ship or fixing all the mistakes. I think it’s clear to everyone that a couple of trades aren’t going to fix all this team’s problems. The habs are missing key defensemen and have problems to deal with in Kostitsyn and Gomez, among others. But with the team sitting in 6th place despite all these losses and still within reach of teams ahead of them, it’s really not the time to give up on the season. they’re still likely to make the playoffs and in that case Gauthier has to do everything he can to ensure they will and that they can compete for a couple of rounds. This organization charges exorbitant amounts for tickets and concessions, has an entire city rabidly rooting for them, just because they have a few issues doesn’t mean they can give up on the season. Because of that, and because of the fact that the teams directly around them are improving by the day, they have no choice but to make a splash – regardless of what we may think of the team’s long term issues.


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